Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.121956 1.344905 1.580238 1.845361 2.134035 2.437279 2.778385
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.798653 1.100619 1.442378 1.850091 2.316238 2.826422 3.421162
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.591301 0.917271 1.307503 1.793168 2.367453 3.013007 3.782413
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.434622 0.767288 1.189455 1.736739 2.404049 3.171862 4.104230
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.328569 0.660876 1.106806 1.706279 2.456453 3.336165 4.420326
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.266295 0.603526 1.078604 1.736484 2.576640 3.576177 4.821604
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.210176 0.544146 1.039520 1.746124 2.666307 3.775947 5.172592
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.154671 0.473371 0.975859 1.716549 2.701438 3.905913 5.437630
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.139961 0.470793 1.009768 1.817615 2.902896 4.239189 5.946909
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.127704 0.470214 1.045328 1.920256 3.106258 4.575154 6.460250
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.119236 0.475362 1.088897 2.033792 3.323997 4.929492 6.996816
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.111403 0.480188 1.131248 2.145384 3.539373 5.281418 7.531354
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.089126 0.451191 1.121850 2.189187 3.674503 5.545230 7.974666
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.064739 0.409123 1.087455 2.195353 3.759596 5.747577 8.345530
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.038228 0.346450 1.010054 2.132253 3.746668 5.822026 8.555557
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.019691 0.290802 0.937010 2.070077 3.730960 5.890059 8.755490
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.009308 0.250418 0.885708 2.036373 3.750525 6.000013 9.004289
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.005134 0.233332 0.877835 2.069767 3.863371 6.230802 9.404740
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001923 0.211365 0.856901 2.080410 3.942960 6.417605 9.749629
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000120 0.180231 0.811306 2.047736 3.958696 6.519264 9.986027
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.187038 0.851909 2.159305 4.183243 6.897644 10.574827
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000031 0.194082 0.893205 2.272354 4.410419 7.280142 11.169720
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000025 0.203884 0.941217 2.397123 4.655135 7.686559 11.795921